U.S. Winter Outlook

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Overview

NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center expects that for winter, the upper Midwest, southern Florida, ad southeastern Alaska will experience below average temperatures. Northern Alaska and much of the southwest can expect warmer than normal temperatures. For more information about this and the precipitation outlook, read on!

U.S. Temperature Outlook (Dec.-Feb.)

U.S. Temperature Outlook • No Animation

U.S. Temperature Outlook

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    • Sea Surface Temperatures in the ENSO (El Niño Southern Oscillation) region suggest continued neutral conditions, according to NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center.
    • For the December – February period, warmer than normal temperatures are expected for northern Alaska and much of the southwest, and southern plains, stretching into Idaho.
    • Cooler than normal temperatures can be expected in southern Florida, the upper Midwest, and southeastern Alaska.
    • All other locations (in white) have equal chances of being warmer or cooler than normal.
    • Outlook by NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center (CPC)
    • In its forecasts, the CPC uses a wide variety of models in conjunction with looking at climate variables (like El Niño).
    • It should be noted that areas in the “warmer than normal” region may still have cooler than normal days. This outlook only suggests that after the three months are over, those areas in the “warmer than normal” region are more likely to have experienced warmer than normal average temperatures.

U.S. Precipitation Outlook • No Animation

U.S. Precipitation Outlook

Still Map Image

  • For the next three months (December – February), drier than normal conditions are expected for much of northern California, as well as southeastern Alaska.
  • Wetter than normal conditions are expected in the Ohio and Mississippi River Valley.
  • All other locations (in white) have equal chances of being wetter or drier than normal.
  • Outlook by NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center (CPC)
  • In its forecasts, the CPC uses a wide variety of models in conjunction with looking at climate variables (like El Niño).
  • It should be noted that areas be in the “drier than normal” region may still have rainy days. This outlook only suggests that after the three months are over, those areas in the “drier than normal” region are more likely to have experienced drier than normal averages.
Where do I find the datasets?
  • First, check your SOS system to make sure it’s not already in the EarthNow category.
  • If not, you can download the dataset and playlist files from this FTP Site.
  • Then download and use playlist file(s) at the top of the page (or create your own) and make sure they are in /home/sos/sosrc or /home/sosdemo/sosrc.
Helpful Resources for More Information
Credit(s):
Visualizations/Blog: CIMSS, University of Wisconsin – Madison
CICS-MD, University of Maryland
NOAA
References:
NOAA Climate Prediction Center, 3-month Outlook Discussion, http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/90day/fxus05.html
NOAA Climate Prediction Center, 3-month Outlook Maps, http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/
Category: U.S. Outlook
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