Climate Outlook for Early Spring (U.S.)

SOS Playlists

SOS Playlist

Overview

NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center expects a large area including much of the eastern two-thirds of the country to be warmer than normal. The Pacific Northwest and southern Alaska are expected to be cooler than normal. For more information about this, the precipitation outlook, and the drought outlook for the United States, read on!

U.S. Temperature Outlook

U.S. Temperature Outlook

U.S. Temperature Outlook

Dataset Name: 20130226 EarthNow: U.S. Temperature Outlook (March-May 2013)
Still Map Image
    • Sea Surface Temperatures in the ENSO (El Niño Southern Oscillation) region suggest continued neutral conditions, according to NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center.
    • For the March – May period, warmer than normal temperatures are expected for the eastern two-thirds of the United States. (Red)
    • Cooler than normal temperatures can be expected in the Pacific Northwest and southern Alaska. (Blue)
    • All other locations have equal chances of being warmer or cooler than normal. (White)
    • Outlook by NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center (CPC)
    • In its forecasts, the CPC uses a wide variety of models in conjunction with looking at climate variables (like El Niño).
    • It should be noted that areas in the “warmer than normal” region may still have cooler than normal days. This outlook only suggests that after the three months are over, those areas in the “warmer than normal” region are more likely to have experienced warmer than normal average temperatures.
U.S. Precipitation Outlook

U.S. Precipitation Outlook

U.S. Precipitation Outlook

Dataset Name: 20130226 EarthNow: U.S. Precipitation Outlook (March-May 2013)
Still Map Image
  • For the next three months (March – May), drier than normal conditions are expected for the southwest U.S. and much of the southern coastal regions. (Brown)
  • Wetter than normal conditions are expected the Great Lakes region, extending down through the Mississippi River valley. (Green)
  • All other locations have equal chances of being wetter or drier than normal. (White)
  • Outlook by NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center (CPC)
  • In its forecasts, the CPC uses a wide variety of models in conjunction with looking at climate variables (like El Niño).
  • It should be noted that areas be in the “drier than normal” region may still have rainy or snowy days. This outlook only suggests that after the three months are over, those areas in the “drier than normal” region are more likely to have experienced drier than normal averages.
U.S. Drought Outlook

U.S. Drought Outlook

U.S. Drought Outlook

Dataset Name: 20130226 EarthNow: U.S. Drought Outlook (March-May 2013)
Still Map Image
    • With so much of the country experiencing drought conditions, and with the potential for severe social and economic impacts, it’s important to provide some insight into the seasonal drought outlook for the United States.
    • This dataset shows the NOAA Climate Prediction Center (CPC) U.S. drought outlook for March – May 2013.
    • Much of the central and western parts of the U.S. are expected to have drought conditions persist or even intensify. Unfortunately, these are the areas with the most agricultural interest. Parts of Florida can also expect their drought conditions to persist.
    • The extreme southeastern U.S. may experience some improvement, along with the western Great Lakes region.
    • Drought development regions are spotty, but prevalent in the western United States.
Where do I find the datasets?
  • First, check your SOS system to make sure it’s not already in the EarthNow category.
  • If not, you can download the dataset and playlist files from this FTP Site.
  • Then download and use playlist file(s) at the top of the page (or create your own) and make sure they are in /home/sos/sosrc or /home/sosdemo/sosrc.
  • More detailed information here
Helpful Resources for More Information
Credits:
EarthNow Team
NOAA
References:
NOAA Climate Prediction Center, 3-month Outlook Discussion, http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/90day/fxus05.html
NOAA Climate Prediction Center, 3-month Outlook Maps, http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/
Category: U.S. Outlook
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