U.S. Early Winter Outlook

SOS Playlist

icon_playlist SOS Playlist

Overview

NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center expects that for the early part of winter, only the southern portion of Florida will experience below normal temperatures on average. Other parts of the country may experience above normal temperatures or average conditions.

U.S. Temperature OutlookU.S. Temperature Outlook

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    • Sea Surface Temperatures in the ENSO (El Niño Southern Oscillation) region suggest continued neutral conditions, according to NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center.
    • For the November – January period, warmer than normal temperatures are expected for much of Alaska, as well as much of the western plains and Rocky Mountains. Only the southern half of Florida is to expect cooler than normal conditions.
    • All other locations (in white) have equal chances of being warmer or cooler than normal.
    • Outlook by NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center (CPC)
    • In its forecasts, the CPC uses a wide variety of models in conjunction with looking at climate variables (like El Niño).
    • It should be noted that areas in the “warmer than normal” region may still have cooler than normal days. This outlook only suggests that after the three months are over, those areas in the “warmer than normal” region are more likely to have experienced warmer than normal average temperatures.

U.S. Precipitation OutlookU.S. Precipitation Outlook

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  • For the next three months (November – January), drier than normal conditions are expected for the Pacific Northwest, as well as for a central portion of the country, expanding from Minnesota south to northern Arkansas and Oklahoma.
  • Wetter than normal conditions are expected in the extreme Southeastern U.S., as well as northern Alaska.
  • All other locations (in white) have equal chances of being wetter or drier than normal.
  • Outlook by NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center (CPC)
  • In its forecasts, the CPC uses a wide variety of models in conjunction with looking at climate variables (like El Niño).
  • It should be noted that areas be in the “drier than normal” region may still have rainy days. This outlook only suggests that after the three months are over, those areas in the “drier than normal” region are more likely to have experienced drier than normal averages.
Where do I find the datasets?
  • First, check your SOS system to make sure it’s not already in the EarthNow category.
  • If not, you can download the dataset and playlist files from this FTP Site.
  • Then download and use playlist file(s) at the top of the page (or create your own) and make sure they are in /home/sos/sosrc or /home/sosdemo/sosrc.
Helpful Resources for More Information
Credit(s):
Visualizations/Blog: CIMSS, University of Wisconsin – Madison
NOAA
NOAA Climate Prediction Center
References:
NOAA Climate Prediction Center, 3-month Outlook Discussion, http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/90day/fxus05.html
NOAA Climate Prediction Center, 3-month Outlook Maps, http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/
Category: U.S. Outlook
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